Issue No 64, Oct 26-Nov 1, 2003 | ISSN:1684-2057 | satribune.com


Opinion

 

Original Arnaud Story | Pramilla's Analysis

Footprints of a nuclear deal: UPI analyzes Arnaud's Story

By Anwar Iqbal

WASHINGTON: The State Department, which is now saying it is unlikely that Saudi Arabia and Pakistan have a nuclear pact, carried a study on its official Web site last year saying the kingdom had discussed a nuclear deal with its Muslim ally.

Earlier this week, State Department's Deputy Spokesman J. Adam Ereli told a briefing that he had "not seen any information to substantiate" that Saudi Arabia was trying to acquire nuclear weapons from Pakistan.

The spokesman also rejected media reports suggesting that the two countries had already struck a deal that will allow Pakistan to receive Saudi oil in return for nuclear know-how as "bald assertions."

As predicted in the original United Press International story, both Saudi Arabia and Pakistan also vehemently denied the report.

"This story has been going around for 25 years. It is absolutely wrong," Adel Al Jubeir, a senior adviser to Crown Prince Abdullah bin Abdulaziz, told reporters in Washington on Wednesday.

"We have not, do not and will not acquire nuclear capability," he insisted.

UPI's Arnaud de Borchgrave, who broke the story from Islamabad earlier this week, said Friday: "I knew that denials would rain down from both countries. They were hardly in a position to confirm a secret understanding 48 hours after it had taken place. Besides, denials from both countries about many major events that subsequently turned out to be correct news reports are fairly routine.

He added: "The late President Zia ul-Haq denied repeatedly during his 11 years in power that Pakistan was involved in a nuclear weapons program. Saudi officials have also denied time and again that they were funding Pakistan's madrassas (Koranic schools) to the tune of several billion dollars since 1989 where several million young Pakistani boys have been taught only the Koran by heart -- and to hate America, Israel and India. Despite all the adverse publicity, the Saudi clergy is still funding them today."

A US State Department study last year reported that senior Saudi officials had discussed the prospect of nuclear weapons cooperation with Pakistan.

The report, published in the department's strategic journal the US Foreign Policy Agenda, said although "Saudi Arabia does not have weapons of mass destruction, it did ... buy long-range CSS-2 ballistic missiles from China."

"Very senior Saudi officials have held conversations with officials involved in the Pakistani nuclear program, and possibly with similar officials in other countries," said author Anthony Cordesman, a former Pentagon official who wrote the report for the State Department.

The report -- Weapons of Mass Destruction: The New Strategic Framework -- also probes the impact of Pakistan's nuclear program on "broader trends in the greater Middle East, including the growing overlap of arms races," and "the impact of North Korean proliferation and the India-Pakistan arms race."

Cordesman pointed out that "while Pakistan is not part of the Middle East, Iran uses Pakistan's nuclear and missile arms race with India as one of its rationales for developing its own long-range missiles; Iranian officials privately refer to tensions with Pakistan as a possible reason for Iranian proliferation."

The report first appeared in the August 2002 issue of the State Department's journal and was published on the department's Web site.

US officials, when contacted by United Press International in August 2002, said Saudi leaders also discussed the procurement of intermediate-range missiles that Pakistan makes. The missiles are capable of carrying nuclear warheads. US officials said Saudi officials were invited to tour Pakistan's nuclear weapons facilities last year but no sales were concluded.

In November last year, a former US Defense Intelligence Agency official said that Saudi Arabia has been financing Islamabad's nuclear and missile purchases from China.

In a research paper, DIA senior China analyst Thomas Woodrow said that "Saudi Arabia has been involved in funding Pakistan's missile and nuclear program purchases from China, which has resulted in Pakistan becoming a nuclear weapon-producing and proliferating state."

The paper also pointed out that Saudi Arabia was "buying nuclear capability from China through a proxy state with Pakistan serving as the cut-out."

Woodrow said that Saudi Defense Minister Prince Sultan Abdulaziz had "toured (Pakistan's) uranium-enrichment plant and missile production facilities in Kahuta (near Islamabad)" just after the May 1999 nuclear tests. He said that the Saudi prince "may also have been present in Pakistan" during the test-launch of its nuclear-capable Ghauri missile in 1999.

"If Riyadh's influence over Pakistan extends to its nuclear programs, Saudi Arabia could rapidly become a de facto nuclear power through a simple shipment of missiles and warheads," said the former DIA officer.

Saudi Arabia, he said, has given money to China for Pakistan's missile and nuclear program.

The writer is UPI's South Asian Affairs Analyst and Correspondent for Daily Dawn in Washington, DC

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