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Issue No 14, Oct 21-27, 2002 | ISSN:1684-2075 | satribune.com


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Benazir Takes a Tough Line: Musharraf Faces Threat of Ouster

Pakistan heads towards Martial Law as Serious Deadlock Persists

Special SAT Report

ISLAMABAD/WASHINGTON: Pakistan is heading toward a serious political crisis as the newly elected, but confused, Parliament dominated by defiant anti-Musharraf forces refuses to accept his package of constitutional amendments saying they have reduced the status of Parliament to a rubber stamp and have given the President veto powers over the collective will of the people.

The leading Opposition party of Benazir Bhutto, new parliamentary religious group the MMA, exiled Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif’s Party PML-N and many democratic groups and independents have declared that they would not accept the “amended” 1973 Constitution.

The immediate crisis would be over what law the new members of Parliament should take their oath: the original 1973 constitution or its amended version. “The very first day could trigger a bitter conflict and Musharraf has decided that he would not summon the Assembly until this matter is resolved,” officials said in Islamabad.

The Law Minister has confirmed that the original date for Assembly to meet, Nov 1 has now been extended to middle of the month and analysts expect more delays if the deadlock remains unresolved.

The most serious threat would be posed to General Musharraf personally as anti-Musharraf political parties and leaders have recently been given a massive vote of confidence by the people and any action against them could trigger street riots. Persistence of the conflict could force an in-house change within the army, making Musharraf an scapegoat and to provide the army with a face-saving dignified exit from the present messy situation.

This plainly means the deadlock would continue until either of the side gives in. “It would be very difficult for General Musharraf to handle the situation and if the situation worsens, his own position inside the Army could be challenged and jeopardized,” analysts said.

“PPP cannot sacrifice the party policy or principle for the sake of the formation of the government. We do not accept General Musharraf as President in uniform at any cost,” Benazir Bhutto told her party leaders in Dubai. This is a much harder line than originally indicated by her party leader Amin Fahim who repeatedly called for a national government.

But there were strong indications that Fahim was working for a coalition of all the parties against the constitutional amendments and if such an alliance was formed, General Musharraf would be effectively blocked, forcing either or another General to impose Martial Law in the country.

“The goose of General Musharraf appears to have been cooked,” an analyst said in Washington, elaborating: “He has messed up things so much that now it has become imperative for the army to extricate itself and that can be done only by some one else and not by Musharraf.”

The Musharraf Government, meanwhile maintained that the only oath available to the new legislators was under the changed constitution. The Government, in fact, went ahead to print new copies of the 1973 Constitution to be handed over to the members of National and Provincial Assemblies for the oath.

Analysts saw the oath issue as the first clash between the military government and the elected representatives and experts described it as critical to the developing situation.

Benazir Bhutto summoned her key party leaders to Dubai to discuss the scenario as she maintains that she will not be a part of the Musharraf set up and would prefer to stay in the Opposition, either inside the new House or even outside.

She is supported by the Nawaz Sharif legislators and the MMA, whose leader, Qazi Hussain Ahmed has refused to accept the National Security Council, proposed in the amended constitution, as a supra-Parliamentary body.

Qazi is also not interested in joining a coalition government with pro-Musharraf elements and by nominating his colleague radical Taliban supporter Maulana Fazlur Rehman as the candidate for the Prime Minister’s slot, Qazi has effectively declared that MMA was not interested in going into the government.

Bhutto has meanwhile taken a very firm and tough line against the Musharraf regime in her party meetings in Dubai. “There would be no compromise on 1973 Constitution,” she is reported to have said which practically means Musharraf is not going to let the National Assembly convene unless he was sure his legal and constitutional position was safe.

Benazir said if Gen Musharraf was sincere in the restoration of democratic dispensation then he should immediately withdraw the amendments and put them before parliament for consideration. She has told her party to play its due role in the National Assembly on the Opposition benches.
“PPP cannot sacrifice the party policy or principle for the sake of the formation of the government,” she was quoted as saying.

She made it clear that her party desires to take part in the formation of the government and talks are going in this regard but they would not compromise on principles and would not join hands with any party which wants to prolong dictatorship in the country.


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